UFC Fight Night: Prochazka vs. Stirling
November 21, 2026
📍 Doha, Qatar
FIGHT PREVIEW
VS
Fight Lab Prediction Engine
📋 Tale of the Tape
| Asu Almabayev | Category | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Age | 36 |
| 5' 4" | Height | 5' 4" |
| 126.0 lbs | Weight | 125.0 lbs |
| 65" | Reach | 63" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 25-3 | Record | 37-6-1 |
| 2.31 | SLpM | 3.77 |
| 4.46 | TD Avg | 1.61 |
| 70.0 | Fight Lab Score | 70.0 |
📊 Skill Comparison
Power
Asu Almabayev
0.0
Kyoji Horiguchi
0.0
Speed
Asu Almabayev
3.5
Kyoji Horiguchi
5.7
Technique
Asu Almabayev
5.2
Kyoji Horiguchi
5.5
Wrestling
Asu Almabayev
7.9
Kyoji Horiguchi
5.7
Submission
Asu Almabayev
3.8
Kyoji Horiguchi
0.2
Cardio
Asu Almabayev
5.6
Kyoji Horiguchi
8.6
Durability
Asu Almabayev
10.0
Kyoji Horiguchi
10.0
Fight IQ
Asu Almabayev
8.2
Kyoji Horiguchi
10.0
🧠 Fight Lab Prediction
🏆 Asu Almabayev
Predicted Winner
Asu Almabayev
Kyoji Horiguchi
Confidence:
Low
DATA COVERAGE
100%
High
🔎 Key Matchup Edges
Strongest category advantages in the matchup
Primary Edge
Asu Almabayev
+3.4
(Grappling)
Secondary Edge
Kyoji Horiguchi
+3.4
(Fight IQ)
Physical Edge
Asu Almabayev
+1.4
📊 Matchup Breakdown
| Category | Edge |
|---|---|
| Resume | 0.0 |
| Striking | -1.28 |
| Wrestling | 1.9 |
| Grappling | 3.42 |
| Cardio | -0.56 |
| Fight IQ | -3.36 |
| Experience | -2.21 |
| Momentum | 0.25 |
| Total Edge | -3.18 |
Fight Lab Prediction Engine v4
📊 Fight Lab Comparison
| Category | Asu Almabayev | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Resume Score |
70.0 |
70.0 |
| Win % |
89.3% |
84.1% |
| Striking Accuracy |
50.0% |
47.0% |
| Takedown Defense |
44.0% |
61.0% |
| SLpM |
2.31 |
3.77 |
| TD Avg |
4.46 |
1.61 |
📊 Matchup Breakdown
Resume
EVEN
Striking
Kyoji Horiguchi
+1.3
Wrestling
Asu Almabayev
+1.9
Grappling
Asu Almabayev
+3.4
Cardio
Kyoji Horiguchi
+0.6
Fight IQ
Kyoji Horiguchi
+3.4
Experience
Kyoji Horiguchi
+2.2
Overall Edge
Kyoji Horiguchi
+3.2
📏 Physical Matchup
| Asu Almabayev | Category | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| 64" | Height | 64" |
| 65.0" | Reach | 63.0" |
| Flyweight | Weight Class | Flyweight |
HEIGHT DIFFERENCE
EVEN
REACH DIFFERENCE
Asu Almabayev
+2.0"
PHYSICAL CONTEXT
Comparable physical profile
PHYSICAL EDGE
Asu Almabayev
+1.35
🧠 Keys to Victory
Asu Almabayev
- ✅ Mix in takedowns and make the wrestling advantage matter.
- ✅ Look for grappling exchanges and submission opportunities.
- ✅ Use the reach advantage to control distance and range.
Kyoji Horiguchi
- ✅ Use the striking advantage and control the pace on the feet.
- ✅ Push the pace and make the cardio advantage show over time.
- ✅ Use the experience advantage to manage difficult moments.
📈 Last Five Performances
Asu Almabayev
Recent Form
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● L
● L
● W
● W
● W
● W
W
Charles Johnson
2026-06-27
SUB
• R3
• 3:33
SS
28/51
(54.9%)
TD 6/9 (66.7%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 8:48
TD 6/9 (66.7%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 8:48
W
Alex Perez
2025-11-22
SUB
• R3
• 0:22
SS
40/98
(40.8%)
TD 3/5 (60.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 2:18
TD 3/5 (60.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 2:18
W
Jose Ochoa
2025-07-26
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
22/42
(52.4%)
TD 7/16 (43.8%)
KD 0 SUB 2 CTRL 9:26
TD 7/16 (43.8%)
KD 0 SUB 2 CTRL 9:26
L
Manel Kape
2025-03-01
KO/TKO
• R3
• 2:16
SS
40/80
(50.0%)
TD 0/6 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
TD 0/6 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
W
Matheus Nicolau
2024-10-19
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
16/42
(38.1%)
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 0:00
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 0:00
W
Jose Johnson
2024-06-15
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
20/29
(69.0%)
TD 6/11 (54.5%)
KD 0 SUB 4 CTRL 11:24
TD 6/11 (54.5%)
KD 0 SUB 4 CTRL 11:24
W
CJ Vergara
2024-03-09
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
29/53
(54.7%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:14
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:14
W
Ode' Osbourne
2023-08-05
Submission
• R2
• 3:11
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Ode Osbourne
2023-08-05
SUB
• R2
• 3:11
SS
4/18
(22.2%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:21
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:21
W
Kenneth Maningat
2022-11-26
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
• R1
• 3:30
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Zach Makovsky
2022-07-30
Decision - Split
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Imran Magaramov
2022-03-11
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Kayck Alencar
2021-12-29
KO
• R3
• 0:27
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Aleksander Doskalchuk
2021-08-21
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
• R2
• 3:47
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Darkhan Skakov
2020-12-25
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
• R1
• 3:29
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Chris Kelades
2019-10-19
Decision - Unanimous
• R5
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Pierre Ludet
2019-03-30
Submission (Guillotine)
• R2
• 1:50
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Kirill Fomenkov
2018-12-15
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
• R2
• 3:51
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Saud Karagishov
2018-08-31
KO/TKO
• R2
• 4:09
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Shamit Akhmaev
2018-04-29
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Kenan Jafarli
2017-12-30
Decision - Unanimous
• R2
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Ibragim Mamaev
2017-09-09
Submission (Peruvian Necktie)
• R2
• 2:08
Detailed fight statistics not available
L
Mehman Mamedov
2017-04-01
Decision - Split
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
L
Tagir Ulanbekov
2017-01-28
TKO
• R3
• 4:51
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Galamirza Aivazov
2016-04-22
Submission (Armbar)
• R1
• 3:41
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Oleg Edik
2016-03-03
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
• R1
• 4:04
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Eldos Kaliev
2016-02-14
TKO
• R1
• 4:32
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Vadim Buseev
2013-06-01
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Kyoji Horiguchi
Recent Form
● L
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● D
● W
● W
● L
● L
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
Manel Kape
L
2026-06-20
KO/TKO
• R3
• 2:42
27/53
(50.9%)
SS
2/5 (40.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
4:00 CTRL
2/5 (40.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
4:00 CTRL
Amir Albazi
W
2026-02-07
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
16/67
(23.9%)
SS
0/7 (0.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
3:50 CTRL
0/7 (0.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
3:50 CTRL
Tagir Ulanbekov
W
2025-11-22
SUB
• R3
• 2:18
6/27
(22.2%)
SS
1/2 (50.0%) TD
0 KD
1 SUB
1:25 CTRL
1/2 (50.0%) TD
0 KD
1 SUB
1:25 CTRL
Nkazimulo Zulu
W
2024-12-31
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Sergio Pettis
W
2024-06-09
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Makoto Takahashi
W
2023-12-31
Submission
• R2
• 3:44
Detailed fight statistics not available
Makoto Takahashi
D
2023-07-30
No Contest
• R1
• 0:25
Detailed fight statistics not available
Hiromasa Ougikubo
W
2022-12-31
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Yuto Hokamura
W
2022-09-25
Submission (Arm Triangle)
• R2
• 2:59
Detailed fight statistics not available
Patchy Mix
L
2022-04-24
Decision - Unanimous
• R5
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Sergio Pettis
L
2021-12-04
KO/TKO
• R4
• 3:24
Detailed fight statistics not available
Kai Asakura
W
2020-12-31
KO/TKO
• R1
• 2:48
Detailed fight statistics not available
Kai Asakura
L
2019-08-18
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:08
Detailed fight statistics not available
Darrion Caldwell
W
2019-06-14
Decision - Unanimous
• R5
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Ben Nguyen
W
2019-04-21
KO/TKO
• R1
• 2:53
Detailed fight statistics not available
Darrion Caldwell
W
2018-12-31
Submission (Guillotine)
• R3
• 1:19
Detailed fight statistics not available
Hiromasa Ougikubo
W
2018-07-29
Decision - Unanimous
• R2
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Ian McCall
W
2018-05-06
KO/TKO
• R1
• 0:09
Detailed fight statistics not available
Shintaro Ishiwatari
W
2017-12-31
KO
• R2
• 0:14
Detailed fight statistics not available
Manel Kape
W
2017-12-31
Submission (Arm Triangle)
• R3
• 4:27
Detailed fight statistics not available
Gabriel Leite de Oliveira
W
2017-12-29
KO/TKO
• R1
• 4:30
Detailed fight statistics not available
Hideo Tokoro
W
2017-07-30
KO
• R1
• 1:49
Detailed fight statistics not available
Yuki Motoya
W
2017-04-16
Decision - Unanimous
• R2
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Ali Bagautinov
W
2016-11-19
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
55/92
(59.8%)
SS
4/9 (44.4%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
4:32 CTRL
4/9 (44.4%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
4:32 CTRL
Neil Seery
W
2016-05-08
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
72/145
(49.7%)
SS
6/8 (75.0%) TD
2 KD
0 SUB
5:47 CTRL
6/8 (75.0%) TD
2 KD
0 SUB
5:47 CTRL
Chico Camus
W
2015-09-26
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
78/224
(34.8%)
SS
0/5 (0.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
0:20 CTRL
0/5 (0.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
0:20 CTRL
Demetrious Johnson
L
2015-04-25
SUB
• R5
• 4:59
31/91
(34.1%)
SS
1/5 (20.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
1:02 CTRL
1/5 (20.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
1:02 CTRL
Louis Gaudinot
W
2015-01-03
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
44/108
(40.7%)
SS
1/2 (50.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
1:58 CTRL
1/2 (50.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
1:58 CTRL
Jon Delos Reyes
W
2014-09-20
KO/TKO
• R1
• 3:48
31/43
(72.1%)
SS
0/0 TD
0 KD
0 SUB
2:16 CTRL
0/0 TD
0 KD
0 SUB
2:16 CTRL
Darrell Montague
W
2014-05-10
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
65/147
(44.2%)
SS
2/2 (100.0%) TD
1 KD
0 SUB
2:47 CTRL
2/2 (100.0%) TD
1 KD
0 SUB
2:47 CTRL
Dustin Pague
W
2013-10-20
KO/TKO
• R2
• 3:51
Detailed fight statistics not available
Dustin Pague
W
2013-10-19
KO/TKO
• R2
• 3:51
9/15
(60.0%)
SS
1/1 (100.0%) TD
0 KD
1 SUB
3:29 CTRL
1/1 (100.0%) TD
0 KD
1 SUB
3:29 CTRL
Shintaro Ishiwatari
W
2013-06-22
TKO
• R5
• 0:41
Detailed fight statistics not available
Hiromasa Ougikubo
W
2013-03-16
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
• R2
• 1:35
Detailed fight statistics not available
Ian Loveland
W
2012-12-24
Unanimous Decision
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Manabu Inoue
W
2012-07-16
Unanimous Decision
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Tetsu Suzuki
W
2012-03-10
TKO
• R1
• 2:06
Detailed fight statistics not available
Masakatsu Ueda
L
2012-01-08
Majority Decision
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Naohiro Mizuno
W
2011-09-23
KO
• R2
• 3:26
Detailed fight statistics not available
Yuta Nezu
W
2011-07-18
KO
• R1
• 3:17
Detailed fight statistics not available
Takahiro Hosoi
W
2011-04-29
TKO
• R1
• 1:06
Detailed fight statistics not available
Seiji Akao
W
2010-12-18
TKO
• R2
• 0:43
Detailed fight statistics not available
Keita Ishibashi
W
2010-08-07
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
• R1
• 2:23
Detailed fight statistics not available
Ranki Kawana
W
2010-05-09
Unanimous Decision
• R2
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Recent Form Analysis
LAST FIVE
Asu Almabayev
4-1
Kyoji Horiguchi
4-1
WIN %
Asu Almabayev
80.0%
Kyoji Horiguchi
80.0%
FINISH RATE
Asu Almabayev
60.0%
Kyoji Horiguchi
40.0%
AVG FIGHT LAB RATING
Asu Almabayev
--
Kyoji Horiguchi
--
SIG / TD ACCURACY
Asu Almabayev
SS
47.2%
·
TD
34.1%
Kyoji Horiguchi
SS
32.3%
·
TD
30.0%
AVG CONTROL
Asu Almabayev
4:06
Kyoji Horiguchi
3:05
PREDICTION DATA
100%
High