UFC Fight Night: Prochazka vs. Stirling
November 21, 2026
📍 Doha, Qatar
FIGHT PREVIEW
VS
Fight Lab Prediction Engine
📋 Tale of the Tape
| Jake Matthews | Category | Tahir Abdullayev |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Age | 29 |
| 5' 11" | Height | 5' 8" |
| 170.0 lbs | Weight | 170.0 lbs |
| 73" | Reach | 73" |
| Orthodox | Stance | - |
| 26-9 | Record | 20-3 |
| 3.34 | SLpM | - |
| 1.44 | TD Avg | - |
| 69.0 | Fight Lab Score | 62.0 |
📊 Skill Comparison
Power
Jake Matthews
0.0
Tahir Abdullayev
0.0
Speed
Jake Matthews
5.0
Tahir Abdullayev
0.0
Technique
Jake Matthews
5.2
Tahir Abdullayev
0.0
Wrestling
Jake Matthews
5.6
Tahir Abdullayev
0.0
Submission
Jake Matthews
2.0
Tahir Abdullayev
0.0
Cardio
Jake Matthews
7.0
Tahir Abdullayev
4.6
Durability
Jake Matthews
9.8
Tahir Abdullayev
10.0
Fight IQ
Jake Matthews
10.0
Tahir Abdullayev
4.6
🧠 Fight Lab Prediction
🏆 Jake Matthews
Predicted Winner
Jake Matthews
Tahir Abdullayev
Confidence:
Low
DATA COVERAGE
69%
Moderate
🔎 Key Matchup Edges
Strongest category advantages in the matchup
Primary Edge
Jake Matthews
+3.1
(Striking)
Secondary Edge
Jake Matthews
+2.9
(Fight IQ)
📊 Matchup Breakdown
| Category | Edge |
|---|---|
| Resume | 0.7 |
| Striking | 3.09 |
| Wrestling | 2.12 |
| Grappling | 1.23 |
| Cardio | 2.29 |
| Fight IQ | 2.87 |
| Experience | 2.32 |
| Momentum | -2.5 |
| Total Edge | 19.26 |
Fight Lab Prediction Engine v4
📊 Fight Lab Comparison
| Category | Jake Matthews | Tahir Abdullayev |
|---|---|---|
| Resume Score |
69.0 |
62.0 |
| Win % |
74.3% |
87.0% |
| Striking Accuracy |
43.0% |
Not available |
| Takedown Defense |
64.0% |
Not available |
| SLpM |
3.34 |
Not available |
| TD Avg |
1.44 |
Not available |
📊 Matchup Breakdown
Resume
Jake Matthews
+0.7
Striking
Jake Matthews
+3.1
Wrestling
Jake Matthews
+2.1
Grappling
Jake Matthews
+1.2
Cardio
Jake Matthews
+2.3
Fight IQ
Jake Matthews
+2.9
Experience
Jake Matthews
+2.3
Overall Edge
Jake Matthews
+19.3
📏 Physical Matchup
| Jake Matthews | Category | Tahir Abdullayev |
|---|---|---|
| 71" | Height | 68" |
| 73.0" | Reach | 73.0" |
| Welterweight | Weight Class | Welterweight |
HEIGHT DIFFERENCE
Jake Matthews
+3"
REACH DIFFERENCE
EVEN
PHYSICAL CONTEXT
Comparable physical profile
PHYSICAL EDGE
EVEN
🧠 Keys to Victory
Jake Matthews
- ✅ Use the striking advantage and control the pace on the feet.
- ✅ Mix in takedowns and make the wrestling advantage matter.
- ✅ Look for grappling exchanges and submission opportunities.
- ✅ Push the pace and make the cardio advantage show over time.
- ✅ Use the experience advantage to manage difficult moments.
- ✅ Use the height advantage to maintain range and create openings.
Tahir Abdullayev
- ℹ️ Limited statistical data is available, so Fight Lab cannot identify a strong category-specific advantage yet.
📈 Last Five Performances
Jake Matthews
Recent Form
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● L
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● L
● L
● L
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
W
Carlston Harris
2026-05-30
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
55/96
(57.3%)
TD 0/0
KD 1 SUB 0 CTRL 9:30
TD 0/0
KD 1 SUB 0 CTRL 9:30
L
Neil Magny
2025-09-27
SUB
• R3
• 3:08
SS
31/57
(54.4%)
TD 3/5 (60.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 2:46
TD 3/5 (60.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 2:46
W
Chidi Njokuani
2025-07-12
SUB
• R1
• 1:09
SS
3/7
(42.9%)
TD 1/1 (100.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 0:29
TD 1/1 (100.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 0:29
W
Francisco Prado
2025-02-08
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
68/184
(37.0%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:40
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:40
W
Phil Rowe
2024-06-01
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
66/164
(40.2%)
TD 1/1 (100.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 3:04
TD 1/1 (100.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 3:04
L
Michael Morales
2023-11-18
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
57/149
(38.3%)
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:03
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:03
W
Darrius Flowers
2023-07-29
SUB
• R2
• 2:37
SS
60/101
(59.4%)
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 1:15
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 1:15
L
Matthew Semelsberger
2022-12-17
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
45/116
(38.8%)
TD 3/5 (60.0%)
KD 3 SUB 0 CTRL 4:16
TD 3/5 (60.0%)
KD 3 SUB 0 CTRL 4:16
W
Andre Fialho
2022-06-11
KO/TKO
• R2
• 2:24
SS
18/51
(35.3%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
L
Sean Brady
2021-03-06
SUB
• R3
• 3:28
SS
21/84
(25.0%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:04
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:04
W
Diego Sanchez
2020-09-26
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
25/81
(30.9%)
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
W
Emil Meek
2020-02-22
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
33/73
(45.2%)
TD 4/7 (57.1%)
KD 1 SUB 0 CTRL 8:28
TD 4/7 (57.1%)
KD 1 SUB 0 CTRL 8:28
W
Rostem Akman
2019-10-05
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
59/133
(44.4%)
TD 0/2 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:49
TD 0/2 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:49
L
Anthony Rocco Martin
2018-12-01
SUB
• R3
• 1:19
SS
25/86
(29.1%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 1:11
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 1:11
W
Shinsho Anzai
2018-06-23
SUB
• R1
• 2:44
SS
1/5
(20.0%)
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:56
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:56
W
Li Jingliang
2018-02-10
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
63/127
(49.6%)
TD 2/4 (50.0%)
KD 2 SUB 1 CTRL 3:25
TD 2/4 (50.0%)
KD 2 SUB 1 CTRL 3:25
W
Bojan Velickovic
2017-11-18
S-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
20/34
(58.8%)
TD 4/11 (36.4%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 7:05
TD 4/11 (36.4%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 7:05
L
Andrew Holbrook
2016-11-26
S-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
30/53
(56.6%)
TD 2/2 (100.0%)
KD 0 SUB 3 CTRL 2:54
TD 2/2 (100.0%)
KD 0 SUB 3 CTRL 2:54
L
Kevin Lee
2016-07-09
KO/TKO
• R1
• 4:06
Detailed fight statistics not available
L
Kevin Lee
2016-07-08
KO/TKO
• R1
• 4:06
SS
24/38
(63.2%)
TD 1/2 (50.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 2:35
TD 1/2 (50.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 2:35
W
Johnny Case
2016-03-20
Submission
• R3
• 4:45
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Johnny Case
2016-03-19
SUB
• R3
• 4:45
SS
36/114
(31.6%)
TD 0/4 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 2 CTRL 1:14
TD 0/4 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 2 CTRL 1:14
W
Akbarh Arreola
2015-11-14
KO/TKO
• R2
• 5:00
SS
62/98
(63.3%)
TD 1/3 (33.3%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 5:39
TD 1/3 (33.3%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 5:39
L
James Vick
2015-05-09
SUB
• R1
• 4:53
SS
10/26
(38.5%)
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 0:08
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 0:08
W
Vagner Rocha
2014-11-08
Submission
• R2
• 1:52
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Vagner Rocha
2014-11-07
SUB
• R2
• 1:52
SS
26/63
(41.3%)
TD 1/2 (50.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 0:56
TD 1/2 (50.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 0:56
W
Dashon Johnson
2014-06-29
Submission
• R3
• 3:16
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Dashon Johnson
2014-06-28
SUB
• R3
• 3:16
SS
60/85
(70.6%)
TD 4/11 (36.4%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 10:27
TD 4/11 (36.4%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 10:27
W
Stuart Dare
2014-04-26
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Dean Purdon
2013-08-24
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
• R2
• 2:42
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Tadija Majic
2013-06-22
KO/TKO
• R1
• -
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Luke Jumeau
2013-05-10
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
• R2
• 1:14
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Callan Potter
2013-03-16
Submission (Triangle Armbar)
• R1
• 1:42
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Jason Zivkovic
2012-12-08
TKO
• R1
• 0:23
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Sam Fiamatai
2012-09-15
TKO
• R2
• 1:47
Detailed fight statistics not available
Tahir Abdullayev
Recent Form
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
Jefferson Nascimento
W
2026-06-27
KO/TKO
• R3
• 4:28
37/87
(42.5%)
SS
2/6 (33.3%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
3:12 CTRL
2/6 (33.3%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
3:12 CTRL
Siavash Dadras
W
2025-10-25
Submission (Guillotine)
• R2
• 4:40
Detailed fight statistics not available
Alimjon Shadmanov
W
2025-09-13
Submission (Shoulder Choke)
• R1
• 3:23
Detailed fight statistics not available
Shokhruz Rakhmatov
W
2025-08-16
Submission (North-South Choke)
• R1
• 4:12
Detailed fight statistics not available
Oleg Kosinov
W
2025-06-14
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:04
Detailed fight statistics not available
Khotam Boynazarov
L
2024-10-22
Decision - Unanimous
• R5
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Shakhban Alkhasov
W
2024-05-18
KO/TKO
• R2
• 4:35
Detailed fight statistics not available
Yuriy Ermolenko
W
2023-07-14
Decision - Split
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Nikita Severov
W
2023-02-22
KO/TKO
• R1
• 3:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Josh Togo
L
2022-09-17
Decision - Unanimous
• R5
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Daniel Skibinski
W
2021-10-29
KO/TKO
• R1
• 0:45
Detailed fight statistics not available
Alexey Lyapunov
W
2021-03-20
Submission (Guillotine)
• R3
• 3:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Kishvar Khudoyerov
W
2020-07-18
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:15
Detailed fight statistics not available
Makhir Aliev
W
2019-06-28
Submission (Armbar)
• R2
• 3:57
Detailed fight statistics not available
Dmitry Berezin
W
2018-09-28
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:30
Detailed fight statistics not available
Roman Bogatov
L
2018-03-30
Submission (Arm Triangle)
• R2
• 1:21
Detailed fight statistics not available
Kewei Xu
W
2018-02-19
KO/TKO
• R1
• -
Detailed fight statistics not available
Alexey Balyberdin
W
2017-09-09
Submission (Heel Hook)
• R1
• 2:46
Detailed fight statistics not available
Movsar Magomedov
W
2017-04-09
TKO (Corner Stoppage)
• R2
• 1:10
Detailed fight statistics not available
Sahib Murodov
W
2016-05-07
KO/TKO
• R1
• 3:13
Detailed fight statistics not available
Rasul Mansurov
W
2016-04-24
KO/TKO
• R2
• 3:51
Detailed fight statistics not available
Rasul Mansurov
W
2015-09-19
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Azhibay Akylbekov
W
2015-04-04
Submission (Armbar)
• R2
• 2:05
Detailed fight statistics not available
Recent Form Analysis
LAST FIVE
Jake Matthews
4-1
Tahir Abdullayev
5-0
WIN %
Jake Matthews
80.0%
Tahir Abdullayev
100.0%
FINISH RATE
Jake Matthews
40.0%
Tahir Abdullayev
100.0%
AVG FIGHT LAB RATING
Jake Matthews
--
Tahir Abdullayev
--
SIG / TD ACCURACY
Jake Matthews
SS
46.4%
·
TD
86.7%
Tahir Abdullayev
SS
42.5%
·
TD
33.3%
AVG CONTROL
Jake Matthews
3:17
Tahir Abdullayev
3:12
PREDICTION DATA
69%
Moderate