UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Magomedov
December 05, 2026
📍 Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
FIGHT PREVIEW
VS
Fight Lab Prediction Engine
📋 Tale of the Tape
| Modestino Rodrigues | Category | Matthieu Duclos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Age | 31 |
| 6' 3" | Height | 6' 3" |
| 185.0 lbs | Weight | 185.0 lbs |
| 77" | Reach | 77" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 8-1 | Record | 11-3 |
| - | SLpM | - |
| - | TD Avg | - |
| 48.0 | Fight Lab Score | 45.0 |
📊 Skill Comparison
Power
Modestino Rodrigues
0.0
Matthieu Duclos
0.0
Speed
Modestino Rodrigues
0.0
Matthieu Duclos
0.0
Technique
Modestino Rodrigues
0.0
Matthieu Duclos
0.0
Wrestling
Modestino Rodrigues
0.0
Matthieu Duclos
0.0
Submission
Modestino Rodrigues
0.0
Matthieu Duclos
0.0
Cardio
Modestino Rodrigues
1.8
Matthieu Duclos
2.8
Durability
Modestino Rodrigues
10.0
Matthieu Duclos
10.0
Fight IQ
Modestino Rodrigues
1.8
Matthieu Duclos
2.8
🧠 Fight Lab Prediction
🏆 Modestino Rodrigues
Predicted Winner
Modestino Rodrigues
Matthieu Duclos
Confidence:
Low
DATA COVERAGE
38%
Limited
Some matchup categories do not yet have
statistical data.
🔎 Key Matchup Edges
Strongest category advantages in the matchup
Primary Edge
Matthieu Duclos
+1.3
(Experience)
Secondary Edge
Modestino Rodrigues
+0.3
(Resume)
Category edges are reduced by Fight Lab's
data-confidence adjustment when statistical
coverage is limited.
📊 Matchup Breakdown
| Category | Edge |
|---|---|
| Resume | 0.3 |
| Striking | 0.0 |
| Wrestling | 0.0 |
| Grappling | 0.0 |
| Cardio | 0.0 |
| Fight IQ | 0.0 |
| Experience | -1.28 |
| Momentum | 0.0 |
| Total Edge | -0.53 |
Fight Lab Prediction Engine v4
📊 Fight Lab Comparison
| Category | Modestino Rodrigues | Matthieu Duclos |
|---|---|---|
| Resume Score |
48.0 |
45.0 |
| Win % |
88.9% |
78.6% |
| Striking Accuracy | Not available | Not available |
| Takedown Defense | Not available | Not available |
| SLpM | Not available | Not available |
| TD Avg | Not available | Not available |
📊 Matchup Breakdown
Resume
Modestino Rodrigues
+0.3
Striking
EVEN
Wrestling
EVEN
Grappling
EVEN
Cardio
EVEN
Fight IQ
EVEN
Experience
Matthieu Duclos
+1.3
Overall Edge
Matthieu Duclos
+0.5
📏 Physical Matchup
| Modestino Rodrigues | Category | Matthieu Duclos |
|---|---|---|
| 75" | Height | 75" |
| 77.0" | Reach | 77.0" |
| Middleweight | Weight Class | Middleweight |
HEIGHT DIFFERENCE
EVEN
REACH DIFFERENCE
EVEN
PHYSICAL CONTEXT
Comparable physical profile
PHYSICAL EDGE
EVEN
🧠 Keys to Victory
Modestino Rodrigues
- ℹ️ Limited statistical data is available, so Fight Lab cannot identify a strong category-specific advantage yet.
Matthieu Duclos
- ✅ Use the experience advantage to manage difficult moments.
Keys to Victory are limited by the available statistical data for this matchup.
📈 Last Five Performances
Modestino Rodrigues
Recent Form
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
W
Brandon Holmes
2026-09-01
KO/TKO
• R1
• 0:15
SS
8/19
(42.1%)
TD 0/0
KD 1 SUB 0 CTRL 0:02
TD 0/0
KD 1 SUB 0 CTRL 0:02
W
Virgilio Ailton
2025-06-28
KO/TKO
• R2
• 1:09
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Uilton Correa
2025-04-05
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:05
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Alvaro Luiz
2024-09-28
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:06
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Nathan Oliveira
2024-07-20
KO/TKO
• R2
• 0:32
Detailed fight statistics not available
L
Clayton Ferreira
2024-03-23
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Bruno Ferreira
2024-01-27
KO/TKO
• R1
• 0:27
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Salomao Silva de Melo
2023-09-05
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:57
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Matheus de Almeida
2021-12-22
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:32
Detailed fight statistics not available
Matthieu Duclos
Recent Form
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
● L
Luis Felipe Dias
W
2026-09-05
KO/TKO
• R1
• 4:35
Detailed fight statistics not available
Ilian Bouafia
W
2026-04-11
TKO (Injury)
• R1
• 1:04
Detailed fight statistics not available
Moacir Rocha
W
2025-11-07
KO/TKO
• R2
• 4:28
Detailed fight statistics not available
Thiago Hayne
W
2025-04-25
KO/TKO
• R2
• 4:21
Detailed fight statistics not available
Daichi Mikami
W
2025-01-10
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Marco Tulio
L
2024-08-28
KO/TKO
• R2
• 2:38
Detailed fight statistics not available
Alexis Fontes
W
2024-02-10
TKO - Injury
• R1
• 1:18
Detailed fight statistics not available
Geison Santana Moreno
W
2023-06-17
KO/TKO
• R1
• 3:28
Detailed fight statistics not available
Tobiasz Lewandowski
W
2023-01-22
KO/TKO
• R2
• 3:16
Detailed fight statistics not available
Giorgi Egnatashvili
W
2022-10-15
KO/TKO
• R1
• 2:21
Detailed fight statistics not available
Youcef Ouabbas
L
2022-05-06
KO/TKO
• R1
• 4:17
Detailed fight statistics not available
Mathias Rieucros
W
2022-03-20
TKO - Corner Stoppage
• R2
• 3:12
Detailed fight statistics not available
Lois Laurent
W
2021-07-10
Decision
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Wissame Akhmouch
L
2019-10-19
Submission (Heel Hook)
• R1
• 1:20
Detailed fight statistics not available
Recent Form Analysis
LAST FIVE
Modestino Rodrigues
5-0
Matthieu Duclos
5-0
WIN %
Modestino Rodrigues
100.0%
Matthieu Duclos
100.0%
FINISH RATE
Modestino Rodrigues
100.0%
Matthieu Duclos
80.0%
AVG FIGHT LAB RATING
Modestino Rodrigues
--
Matthieu Duclos
--
SIG / TD ACCURACY
Modestino Rodrigues
SS
42.1%
·
TD
--%
Matthieu Duclos
SS
--%
·
TD
--%
AVG CONTROL
Modestino Rodrigues
0:02
Matthieu Duclos
--
PREDICTION DATA
38%
Limited