UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Magomedov
December 05, 2026
📍 Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
FIGHT PREVIEW
VS
Fight Lab Prediction Engine
📋 Tale of the Tape
| Serghei Spivac | Category | Mario Pinto |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Age | 28 |
| 6' 3" | Height | 6' 5" |
| 257.0 lbs | Weight | 252.0 lbs |
| 78" | Reach | 79" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 18-7 | Record | 13-0 |
| 3.57 | SLpM | 3.39 |
| 3.82 | TD Avg | 2.72 |
| 65.0 | Fight Lab Score | 70.0 |
📊 Skill Comparison
Power
Serghei Spivac
0.0
Mario Pinto
0.0
Speed
Serghei Spivac
5.4
Mario Pinto
5.1
Technique
Serghei Spivac
5.0
Mario Pinto
6.5
Wrestling
Serghei Spivac
8.7
Mario Pinto
9.1
Submission
Serghei Spivac
1.2
Mario Pinto
4.5
Cardio
Serghei Spivac
5.0
Mario Pinto
2.6
Durability
Serghei Spivac
7.8
Mario Pinto
9.7
Fight IQ
Serghei Spivac
7.6
Mario Pinto
5.2
🧠 Fight Lab Prediction
🏆 Serghei Spivac
Predicted Winner
Serghei Spivac
Mario Pinto
Confidence:
Medium
DATA COVERAGE
94%
High
🔎 Key Matchup Edges
Strongest category advantages in the matchup
Primary Edge
Mario Pinto
+6.0
(Momentum)
Secondary Edge
Mario Pinto
+2.9
(Fight IQ)
Physical Edge
Mario Pinto
+0.8
📊 Matchup Breakdown
| Category | Edge |
|---|---|
| Resume | -0.5 |
| Striking | -0.6 |
| Wrestling | -0.55 |
| Grappling | -2.6 |
| Cardio | 2.72 |
| Fight IQ | -2.87 |
| Experience | 2.65 |
| Momentum | -6.0 |
| Total Edge | -13.24 |
Fight Lab Prediction Engine v4
📊 Fight Lab Comparison
| Category | Serghei Spivac | Mario Pinto |
|---|---|---|
| Resume Score |
65.0 |
70.0 |
| Win % |
72.0% |
100.0% |
| Striking Accuracy |
47.0% |
78.0% |
| Takedown Defense |
63.0% |
100.0% |
| SLpM |
3.57 |
3.39 |
| TD Avg |
3.82 |
2.72 |
📊 Matchup Breakdown
Resume
Mario Pinto
+0.5
Striking
Mario Pinto
+0.6
Wrestling
Mario Pinto
+0.6
Grappling
Mario Pinto
+2.6
Cardio
Serghei Spivac
+2.7
Fight IQ
Mario Pinto
+2.9
Experience
Serghei Spivac
+2.6
Overall Edge
Mario Pinto
+13.2
📏 Physical Matchup
| Serghei Spivac | Category | Mario Pinto |
|---|---|---|
| 75" | Height | 77" |
| 78.0" | Reach | 79.0" |
| Heavyweight | Weight Class | Heavyweight |
HEIGHT DIFFERENCE
Mario Pinto
+2"
REACH DIFFERENCE
Mario Pinto
+1.0"
PHYSICAL CONTEXT
Comparable physical profile
PHYSICAL EDGE
Mario Pinto
+0.75
🧠 Keys to Victory
Serghei Spivac
- ✅ Push the pace and make the cardio advantage show over time.
- ✅ Use the experience advantage to manage difficult moments.
Mario Pinto
- ✅ Use the striking advantage and control the pace on the feet.
- ✅ Mix in takedowns and make the wrestling advantage matter.
- ✅ Look for grappling exchanges and submission opportunities.
📈 Last Five Performances
Serghei Spivac
Recent Form
● L
● W
● L
● L
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● L
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
L
Vitor Petrino
2026-08-22
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Ante Delija
2026-02-21
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
67/149
(45.0%)
TD 1/4 (25.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 3:00
TD 1/4 (25.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 3:00
L
Waldo Cortes Acosta
2025-06-07
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
110/235
(46.8%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
L
Jailton Almeida
2025-01-18
KO/TKO
• R1
• 4:53
SS
15/28
(53.6%)
TD 1/1 (100.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 2:08
TD 1/1 (100.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 2:08
W
Marcin Tybura
2024-08-10
SUB
• R1
• 1:44
SS
0/4
(0.0%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:43
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:43
L
Ciryl Gane
2023-09-02
KO/TKO
• R2
• 3:44
SS
11/44
(25.0%)
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:02
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:02
W
Derrick Lewis
2023-02-04
SUB
• R1
• 3:05
SS
0/3
(0.0%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
W
Augusto Sakai
2022-08-06
KO/TKO
• R2
• 3:42
SS
8/23
(34.8%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:23
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:23
W
Greg Hardy
2022-03-05
KO/TKO
• R1
• 2:16
SS
14/27
(51.9%)
TD 3/4 (75.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 1:21
TD 3/4 (75.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 1:21
L
Tom Aspinall
2021-09-04
KO/TKO
• R1
• 2:30
SS
0/11
(0.0%)
TD 0/2 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
TD 0/2 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
W
Aleksei Oleinik
2021-06-19
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
59/121
(48.8%)
TD 1/2 (50.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 3:31
TD 1/2 (50.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 3:31
W
Jared Vanderaa
2021-02-20
KO/TKO
• R2
• 4:32
SS
51/72
(70.8%)
TD 3/3 (100.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 8:29
TD 3/3 (100.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 8:29
W
Carlos Felipe
2020-07-18
M-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
44/121
(36.4%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
L
Marcin Tybura
2020-02-29
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
26/83
(31.3%)
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
TD 0/1 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
W
Tai Tuivasa
2019-10-05
SUB
• R2
• 3:14
SS
21/50
(42.0%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:06
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:06
L
Walt Harris
2019-05-04
KO/TKO
• R1
• 0:50
SS
1/3
(33.3%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
W
Tony Lopez
2018-09-29
Submission (Neck Crank)
• R1
• 4:12
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Ivo Cuk
2018-03-24
KO/TKO
• R1
• 2:21
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Travis Fulton
2017-06-14
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
• R1
• 2:50
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Luke Morton
2017-03-29
KO/TKO
• R1
• 0:40
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Artem Cherkov
2016-02-27
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:52
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Dimitriy Mikutsa
2015-10-04
Submission (Armbar)
• R2
• 4:34
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Yuri Gorbenko
2015-01-31
Submission (Armbar)
• R1
• 3:38
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Evgeniy Bova
2014-11-19
Submission (Kimura)
• R1
• -
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Andrey Serebrianikov
2014-09-28
KO/TKO
• R1
• 4:31
Detailed fight statistics not available
Mario Pinto
Recent Form
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
Ryan Spann
W
2026-09-05
KO/TKO
• R2
• 0:55
Detailed fight statistics not available
Felipe Franco
W
2026-03-21
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
34/58
(58.6%)
SS
2/14 (14.3%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
6:15 CTRL
2/14 (14.3%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
6:15 CTRL
Jhonata Diniz
W
2025-10-11
KO/TKO
• R2
• 4:10
1/5
(20.0%)
SS
0/0 TD
0 KD
0 SUB
0:09 CTRL
0/0 TD
0 KD
0 SUB
0:09 CTRL
Austen Lane
W
2025-03-01
KO/TKO
• R2
• 0:39
32/63
(50.8%)
SS
0/1 (0.0%) TD
1 KD
0 SUB
0:53 CTRL
0/1 (0.0%) TD
1 KD
0 SUB
0:53 CTRL
Lucas Camacho
W
2024-10-09
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:43
Detailed fight statistics not available
Kasim Aras
W
2024-02-18
Decision - Unanimous
• R5
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Benjamin Sehic
W
2023-10-29
KO/TKO
• R3
• 1:18
Detailed fight statistics not available
Filip Bradaric
W
2023-03-11
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:28
Detailed fight statistics not available
Aladin Ben Halima
W
2023-03-11
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Moreno Kacapor
W
2023-03-11
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Maxwell Djantou Nana
W
2022-07-15
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
• R1
• -
Detailed fight statistics not available
Berat Berisha
W
2022-03-19
KO/TKO
• R1
• 1:07
Detailed fight statistics not available
Joffie Houlton
W
2021-10-02
KO/TKO
• R1
• -
Detailed fight statistics not available
Recent Form Analysis
LAST FIVE
Serghei Spivac
2-3
Mario Pinto
5-0
WIN %
Serghei Spivac
40.0%
Mario Pinto
100.0%
FINISH RATE
Serghei Spivac
40.0%
Mario Pinto
80.0%
AVG FIGHT LAB RATING
Serghei Spivac
--
Mario Pinto
--
SIG / TD ACCURACY
Serghei Spivac
SS
36.4%
·
TD
62.5%
Mario Pinto
SS
43.1%
·
TD
7.2%
AVG CONTROL
Serghei Spivac
1:27
Mario Pinto
2:25
PREDICTION DATA
94%
High