UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Magomedov
December 05, 2026
📍 Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
FIGHT PREVIEW
VS
Fight Lab Prediction Engine
📋 Tale of the Tape
| Uran Satybaldiev | Category | Ivan Gnizditskiy |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Age | 30 |
| 6' 4" | Height | 6' 1" |
| 205.0 lbs | Weight | 205.0 lbs |
| 79" | Reach | - |
| Orthodox | Stance | - |
| 9-1 | Record | 0-0 |
| 2.14 | SLpM | - |
| 0.00 | TD Avg | - |
| 52.0 | Fight Lab Score | 22.0 |
📊 Skill Comparison
Power
Uran Satybaldiev
0.0
Ivan Gnizditskiy
0.0
Speed
Uran Satybaldiev
3.2
Ivan Gnizditskiy
0.0
Technique
Uran Satybaldiev
3.5
Ivan Gnizditskiy
0.0
Wrestling
Uran Satybaldiev
2.0
Ivan Gnizditskiy
0.0
Submission
Uran Satybaldiev
4.2
Ivan Gnizditskiy
0.0
Cardio
Uran Satybaldiev
2.0
Ivan Gnizditskiy
0.0
Durability
Uran Satybaldiev
8.1
Ivan Gnizditskiy
10.0
Fight IQ
Uran Satybaldiev
4.2
Ivan Gnizditskiy
0.0
🧠 Fight Lab Prediction
🏆 Uran Satybaldiev
Predicted Winner
Uran Satybaldiev
Ivan Gnizditskiy
Confidence:
Low
DATA COVERAGE
50%
Limited
Some matchup categories do not yet have
statistical data.
🔎 Key Matchup Edges
Strongest category advantages in the matchup
Primary Edge
Uran Satybaldiev
+2.6
(Resume)
Secondary Edge
Uran Satybaldiev
+2.1
(Grappling)
Category edges are reduced by Fight Lab's
data-confidence adjustment when statistical
coverage is limited.
📊 Matchup Breakdown
| Category | Edge |
|---|---|
| Resume | 2.6 |
| Striking | 2.03 |
| Wrestling | 0.3 |
| Grappling | 2.07 |
| Cardio | 0.0 |
| Fight IQ | 0.83 |
| Experience | 1.9 |
| Momentum | -2.0 |
| Total Edge | 14.66 |
Fight Lab Prediction Engine v4
📊 Fight Lab Comparison
| Category | Uran Satybaldiev | Ivan Gnizditskiy |
|---|---|---|
| Resume Score |
52.0 |
22.0 |
| Win % |
90.0% |
0.0% |
| Striking Accuracy |
25.0% |
Not available |
| Takedown Defense |
50.0% |
Not available |
| SLpM |
2.14 |
Not available |
| TD Avg |
0.00 |
Not available |
📊 Matchup Breakdown
Resume
Uran Satybaldiev
+2.6
Striking
Uran Satybaldiev
+2.0
Wrestling
Uran Satybaldiev
+0.3
Grappling
Uran Satybaldiev
+2.1
Cardio
EVEN
Fight IQ
Uran Satybaldiev
+0.8
Experience
Uran Satybaldiev
+1.9
Overall Edge
Uran Satybaldiev
+14.7
📏 Physical Matchup
| Uran Satybaldiev | Category | Ivan Gnizditskiy |
|---|---|---|
| 76" | Height | 73" |
| 79.0" | Reach | - |
| Light Heavyweight | Weight Class | Light Heavyweight |
HEIGHT DIFFERENCE
Uran Satybaldiev
+3"
REACH DIFFERENCE
-
PHYSICAL CONTEXT
Comparable physical profile
PHYSICAL EDGE
EVEN
🧠 Keys to Victory
Uran Satybaldiev
- ✅ Use the striking advantage and control the pace on the feet.
- ✅ Look for grappling exchanges and submission opportunities.
- ✅ Use the experience advantage to manage difficult moments.
- ✅ Use the height advantage to maintain range and create openings.
Ivan Gnizditskiy
- ℹ️ Limited statistical data is available, so Fight Lab cannot identify a strong category-specific advantage yet.
Keys to Victory are limited by the available statistical data for this matchup.
📈 Last Five Performances
Uran Satybaldiev
Recent Form
● W
● L
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
W
Diyar Nurgozhay
2025-08-23
SUB
• R1
• 2:45
SS
2/9
(22.2%)
TD 0/0
KD 1 SUB 2 CTRL 1:10
TD 0/0
KD 1 SUB 2 CTRL 1:10
L
Martin Buday
2025-04-05
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
36/141
(25.5%)
TD 0/2 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:20
TD 0/2 (0.0%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:20
W
Leon Soares De Deus
2025-03-06
Submission (Kimura)
• R3
• 2:19
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Bruno Assis
2024-03-09
KO/TKO
• R4
• 3:27
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Gabriel Thimoteo
2023-08-19
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Vladimir Seliverstov
2022-07-03
Decision - Split
• R5
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Ilya Bochkov
2021-11-04
TKO - Retirement
• R2
• 0:02
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Khusan Rakhimov
2021-08-14
KO/TKO
• R1
• 3:36
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Vladislav Kuznetsov
2021-05-22
KO/TKO
• R2
• 1:20
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Manarbek Shaikhenov
2020-02-22
KO/TKO
• R1
• 0:28
Detailed fight statistics not available
Ivan Gnizditskiy
Recent Form
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
● W
Tursunbek Sodikov
W
2026-03-28
TKO (Punches)
• R1
• 1:43
Detailed fight statistics not available
Khurshidbek Bozarboev
W
2025-05-30
TKO (Punches)
• R1
• 3:54
Detailed fight statistics not available
Kevin Church
W
2025-03-07
TKO (Punches)
• R1
• 2:46
Detailed fight statistics not available
Liu Ce
W
2024-10-12
TKO (Punches)
• R2
• 1:55
Detailed fight statistics not available
Andrey Stolnik
W
2024-02-24
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
• R1
• 1:45
Detailed fight statistics not available
Rustam Baganaev
W
2023-05-27
TKO (Knees and Punches)
• R2
• 1:34
Detailed fight statistics not available
Maxim Navrazhniy
W
2018-06-10
TKO - Retirement
• R1
• 3:09
Detailed fight statistics not available
Recent Form Analysis
LAST FIVE
Uran Satybaldiev
4-1
Ivan Gnizditskiy
5-0
WIN %
Uran Satybaldiev
80.0%
Ivan Gnizditskiy
100.0%
FINISH RATE
Uran Satybaldiev
60.0%
Ivan Gnizditskiy
100.0%
AVG FIGHT LAB RATING
Uran Satybaldiev
--
Ivan Gnizditskiy
--
SIG / TD ACCURACY
Uran Satybaldiev
SS
23.9%
·
TD
0.0%
Ivan Gnizditskiy
SS
--%
·
TD
--%
AVG CONTROL
Uran Satybaldiev
0:45
Ivan Gnizditskiy
--
PREDICTION DATA
50%
Limited